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The
Economic Freedom
Network

 

Table 3: Predicted average annual use of medical services for a standard population

Plan Probability of any medical use, excluding dental (%) Medical expenses per person, excluding dental ($1991) Total spending as percent of free plan

mean

t vs. free

mean

t vs. free

Free 86.7 (0.67) --- 1,019 (43) --- 100%
25 percent 78.8 (0.99) -6.69 826 (38) -4.05 81%
50 percent 74.3 (1.86) -6.33 764 (43) -4.91 75%
95 percent 68.0 (1.48) -11.57 700 (35) -6.74 67%
Individual deductible 72.6 (1.14) -10.69 817 (45) -3.78 80%
Source: Newhouse et al. 1993: 44.
Note: Standard errors in parentheses, ( ). Estimates are predicted from a four-equation model developed by Duan et al. 1982, 1984. The difference in expenses between the 25 percent and 50 percent plans is significant at the 5 percent level (t = 1.97) and between the 50 percent and 95 percent plans is significant at the 6 percent level (t = 1.93)




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