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Volume 6, Number 1 Inside...
Canadas Economic "3Rs": Regulate, Retrain, and Retard by M. Danielle Smith, University of Calgary, Economics and English The Western world is in the midst of a revolution. Dramatic changes in information and computer technology have triggered a deep, economy-wide structural adjustment. This adjustment has manifested itself in corporate downsizing, lay-offs, elimination of low-skill jobs, and high unemployment rates. The pain associated with such change is confined to the present, while the benefits of technological advancement will be reaped by future generations, presenting a challenging policy problem. However, understanding the forces we are dealing with will make it possible to develop policy that will alleviate some of the interim consequences. Technological advancement, at its most basic level, is change in what we produce and how we produce it. Rather than being feared, it should be embraced. Indeed, the very survival of the human species depended upon such early technological innovations as fire, tools, and weapons. Our history has always been one of invention and progress, and interfering with change to protect narrow interests is certain to produce increased poverty in the long run.
Economic growth has slowed in Canada because policy innovation has not kept pace with technological innovation. Archaic laws, over-regulation of business operations, job-killing payroll taxes, and unchallenged union monopolies threaten to prolong the painful but necessary transition. We must recognize that in a global economy, distance and transport costs no longer protect local markets. Products can be made anywhere in the world, wherever costs are lowest. Labour in general, and unskilled labour in particular, faces intense global competition. Workers only have an advantage to the extent that they possess skills that are scarce relative to the world supply. Todays government policies focus on job retraining and remedial education for unskilled labour. Unfortunately, such programs do nothing to improve employment opportunities if the first 12 years of education have been neglected. Students must be taught the three "Rs" properly, not coddled by a public education system that eases them through. Students must also understand that they will have bleak job prospects if they lack an appropriate level of education and skills. Schools restricted by bloated bureaucracies are unable to adapt and innovate. Monopoly teachers unions benefit teachers, not students. Funding is lost as it attempts to reach students through layers of administration. Providing vouchers directly to students will encourage the establishment of charter schools with teacher-parent-student boards that set the curriculum and equip children with the skills necessary to find employment. Educating young people in obsolete skills is handicapping them, not helping them. Spending on education is only an investment if it produces skills that will be required in the future. The value of technological advancement is clear: real economic growth of just 3 percent annually will increase a nations wealth 20-fold over a century. However, it is very simple to retard growth: make innovation difficult, allow special interests rather than free markets to determine decisions, and undermine productivity by providing workers with inferior skills. The current system is failing to prepare Canadians for a global high-tech market. Unless Canada adapts to the new economic reality, we will surely be left behind.
The Futility of Anti-Americanism by Garry T. Keller, University of Alberta, Political Science Recently, I had the opportunity to leaf through an issue of the Financial Times (FT) and came upon a column by Michael Prowse, his last before leaving Washington as an FT correspondent. Entitled "A deep debt of gratitude," it examines the tenuous relationship that often exists between the United States and Europe. This article made me think about Canadas relationship, also sometimes tenuous, with the United States. . . . most Canadians have matured enough to realize that Canada benefits from a strong relationship with our southern neighbour. As a Briton, Prowse offers remarkable insight into the benefits that America has provided both to Europe and to the world. The Declaration of Independence, philosophically inspired by John Locke, was a milestone in human progress, constraining the power of government and providing the basis for America to overtake other nations economically in little over 100 years. The 20th century has also shown great American achievement: the defeat of Nazi Germany and Japanese militarism; and the postwar reconstruction of Europe. Prowse suggests that Europeans should feel a sense of gratitude towards America, yet the United States is painted by Europeans as the land of assault rifles, race riots, and crumbling inner cities. After reading this, I thought to myself that Prowse could have replaced "Europeans" with "Canadians" and still have written the same article. Anti-Americanism has been present since the end of the Second World War: from Diefenbakers conflict with the U.S. over nuclear warheads, to the National Energy Program, to the last strong outburst of anti-Americanism at the time of the Free Trade Agreement. The topic has been raised again with Canadian historian Jack Granatsteins new book Yankee Go Home? which examines the Canadian-American relationship. Granatstein suggests that anti-Americanism has declined because the majority of Canadians have accepted the Canada-US relationship. While people like Judy Rebick, Mel Hurtig, and Maude Barlow still decry the relationship between our two nations, most Canadians have matured enough to realize that Canada benefits from a strong relationship with our southern neighbour.
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Do Tax Cuts Make Good Public Policy? by Andrei Kreptul, University of Alberta, Commerce One of the most contentious and confusing issues in todays public policy debate is tax cuts. Interest in the possibility of cutting marginal tax rates for individuals has not been this high since the era of "Reaganomics" during the 1980s. Premier Mike Harris of Ontario has implemented a program to cut provincial tax rates and, at the federal level, both Reformers and Progressive Conservatives have promised to cut taxes along with balancing the federal budget. So how does one measure the effect of tax cuts? Four criteria can be used to assess the impact of cutting marginal tax rates: tax fairness, revenue generation, budget deficit effects, and incentives for saving and investment. Statistics from the Reagan administrations tax reform in the United States during the 1980s illustrate the economic effects of tax cuts. Contrary to popular belief, the rich actually paid a larger share of the total tax burden after the Reagan tax cuts. In 1981, the top 1 percent of income-earners in the United States paid 18 percent of the countrys taxes. By 1988, that figure was 27.5 percent, over a quarter of the nations total tax burden. From 1981 to 1986, taxpayers with earnings between $20,000 and $60,000 per year saw their share of taxes paid drop from 67 percent to 60 percent.1 So, did the "rich get richer and the poor get poorer" in the 1980s? The answer is yes and no. The rich did indeed get richer, but so did everyone else. So, did the "rich get richer and the poor get poorer" in the 1980s? The answer is yes and no. The rich did indeed get richer, but so did everyone else. Total revenue levels actually went up after the Reagan tax cuts. The increase, however, was not as high as it would have been without the cuts. This differential, considered "lost revenue," is not as significant as the critics believed. In his 1990 book, The Growth Experiment, U.S. Federal Reserve Board Governor Lawrence Lindsey estimated the actual loss of revenue from 1981, the year the first tax cut was implemented, to 1985, the second year of Reagans second term in office. Lindsey was able to derive his estimate of what federal revenue levels would have been over these 4 years if the tax cuts had not been implemented. According to the critics, revenue for 1985 should have been $419 billion. After taking into account the effect of the tax cuts on savings and consumption, Lindsey arrived at a more realistic estimate of $359 billion in revenue had the tax cuts never been implemented. In 1985, the IRS actually collected $326 billion in tax revenue for a revenue "loss" of about $33 billion.2 The 1981 tax cut did lead to less revenue than might have otherwise been collected, but the amount of the "loss" was greatly exaggerated by Reagans opponents. The large increases in the U.S. budget deficits during the 1980s were more a result of increased spending than cuts in taxes. Throughout the decade, higher spending levels in defense, non-defense items, and interest payments on the national debt comprised 76 percent of the rise in deficit levels, while the remaining 24 percent of the deficit increase was a result of "lost revenue" from lower tax rates. Another way of showing that tax cuts were not completely to blame for the high deficits is to compare the levels of revenue and spending before and after 1980, the year that Reagan was elected president. Between 1976 and 1980, revenue as a percentage of GNP was 18.5 percent and spending was 21.4 percent. From1981 to 1985, revenue increased to 18.9 percent of GNP and spending increased to 23.6 percent of GNP, for a net deficit of revenue over expenditures of 4.7 percent.3 The numbers show that growing revenues could not even keep pace with the huge growth in government spending during Reagans first term in office. The most fundamental economic justification for lower taxes is the effect that they had on investment and savings in the United States during the heyday of Reaganomics. From 1982 to 1984, investment spending grew at a rate of 27 percent per year, outpacing consumption spending which grew at 4.8 percent annually. This boom was attributed to the Accelerated Cost Recovery System (ACRS) introduced during the first tax cut in 1981. ACRS cut the after-tax cost for businesses of buying new equipment by reducing the time period allowed to depreciate the asset. By 1985, almost 8.5 percent of GNP adjusted for inflation went into equipment investment, compared to a high of 8.1 percent during the 1970s (Lindsey, pp. 115-117). For American households, the tax cuts led to a sharp increase in personal savings. This happened largely because of the introduction of Individual Retirement Accounts (IRAs) which allowed taxpayers to deduct up to $2,000 of retirement contributions from their taxable incomes. Between 1981 and 1987, aggregate household liabilities grew by more than $1 trillion, but household assets grew by more than $6 trillion for an increase in net worth of almost $5 trillion. From 1976 to 1981, household savings totalled 8 percent of personal income. By 1987, that figure rose to 13.5 percent of personal income (Lindsey, p. 121). Judging from the evidence, the cries of overconsumption and excessive borrowing heard during the "decade of greed" were exaggerated at best. Advocates of supply-side economics argued in the early 80s that lower marginal tax rates would encourage people to work hard and invest in riskier ventures because they would be able to keep more of every dollar they earned. The fact is that cutting taxes has been shown to make a lot of economic sense. The reduction of marginal tax rates results in more equitable tax treatment, keeps tax revenue losses to a minimum, leads to increases in the supply of labour and capital, and is crucial for long-term economic growth.
by David Gratzer, University of Manitoba, Medicine Millions of people watch situation comedies on a weekly basis. Although sitcoms offer predictable, tired story lines that feature wild misunderstandings or exaggerated predicaments, they do not entirely avoid serious topics. A popular sitcom storyline is the visit from an alcoholic relative.
Our society could learn much from this lesson. The sitcom familys treatment of Tommy is both reasonable and responsible. Amazingly, we as a society reject this approach. For decades now, our government has chosen to simply give the Tommys of this country money without any questions asked. This approach has become the governments standard way to treat the poor and the unemployed. Perhaps the most publicized instance of this statist negligence was the case of the young Winnipeg woman on social assistance who was pregnant and addicted to sniffing solvent. Alarmed by the potential harm to the unborn child, government officials attempted to place her in a treatment program against her will. The media glossed over the fact that the woman had an addiction for half a decade and had given birth to two retarded children already. No one bothered to ask: why have we allowed this to go on for years? There was no demand that the woman enroll in a treatment program until it was discovered she was pregnant yet again. Even then, the actions of Child and Family Services were considered harsh and controversial. We were assured by one government official after another that the only reason for the direct intervention was because of the potential damage to the unborn child. Nowhere in Canada do we demand that the young, able-bodied recipient of employment insurance finish high school or that the alcoholic welfare recipient seek treatment. There are no conditions attached to our assistance. This, we are told by self-appointed poverty and womens groups, would be cruel. And so, families on welfare raise a future generation of families on welfare. This cycle of poverty is perpetuated in part by the generosity of Canadian taxpayers. If this is unsettling, consider that employment insurance has for decades encouraged people to remain in poverty-ravaged livelihoods. Fishermen in Newfoundland, for example, work a handful of weeks a year and then are given money not to work for the remaining months. Unsurprisingly, some of these fishermen suffer from depression and a feeling of hopelessness. Society has offered the drowning man the life-vest, but never bothered to help him to shore. Having created a system with warped incentives, we are alarmed to find a lack of change in individual behaviour and circumstances. The obvious conclusion is that our poorly-structured social programs do contribute to our culture of dependency. Like the sitcom family, we have our share of Tommys. But we do not attempt to help these people. Rather, we offer unconditional support. Nothing could be more cruel.
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Privatizing British Columbias Public Forest Lands: Rationale and Viability by Sen Wang, University of British Columbia, Forestry Economics, Ph.D. Candidate To a large extent, British Columbias contemporary history is a history of forest related development. Unlike many other forestry dominant jurisdictions such as Sweden and Finland, where a high percentage of forest holdings are privately owned, B.C. is characterized by a predominant public ownership of up to 95 percent of its forest lands. Over the years, there have been repeated calls for privatization and the most recent appeal was issued at a Fraser Institute-sponsored conference on the future of B.C.s forest industry. Is it time to listen to the calls? Arguments in favour of privatization are grounded in the belief that market forces promise an efficient allocation of scarce resources among alternative uses so that maximum social welfare is attained. The market economy logic reveals many pathologies associated with B.C.s public forest ownership, which empowers the government to decide on the rate of timber harvest, determine the levels of stumpage fees, and dictate forest practices. The fulfilment of this mandate requires a large Forest Service. However, constant changes in the forest resource base versus social expectations compels the Forest Service to frequently alter its planning and delivery processes. If the Service wishes to play the role of a chief steward of the public forests and concurrently strike a balance among various stakeholder groups that hold conflicting interests, the bureaucracy is likely to swell, accompanied by rising public expenditures. Increasing costs and inefficiencies have led several countries to relinquish public control of their forest lands. New Zealand has just completed its decade-long drive to privatize its pine plantations. A couple of years ago, Sweden also succeeded in transferring the ownership of large tracts of state forest holdings to forest companies. Should B.C. do the same? If so, how should it proceed? British Columbia differs from New Zealand and Sweden in many ways. Traditionally, interests in establishing private forest ownership have failed to win government endorsement because of opposition at important historical junctions. Examples include the conservation movement that swept across the United States in the late nineteenth century, the nationalization sentiment in the 1930s, and the labour union movement in the 1970s. Even the timing of the privatization campaign in parts of Europe during the 1980s did not coincide with B.C.s agenda because of a recent realignment in provincial forestry legislation and organizational structures. As far as the resource base is concerned, B.C. is more heterogeneous than other countries in terms of its forest landscape and species composition. While it is in transition from dependence on old-growth timber to the use of second-growth forests, B.C. needs to handle some two dozen tree species in addition to managing a collection of much more diverse ecosystems. Sweden has only three major tree species to deal with, and New Zealand is almost exclusively concerned with radiata pine in its forest plantations. Because of the diversity of species, B.C. must carefully assess the impact of any new initiatives. Arguments in favour of privatization are grounded in the belief that market forces promise an efficient allocation of scarce resources among alternative uses so that maximum social welfare is attained. With the rationale behind privatization being well justified, what is at issue is viability. Consider the following facts. First, B.C.s forests command high values in non-timber uses and artificially established forests are still limited in acreage. Second, many land use issues involving aboriginal people are yet to be resolved. Third, the provinces forest industry is so excessively export-oriented that environmental groups have the opportunity to criticize the industry at both the resource and the final product ends. Therefore, should B.C. decide to privatize its forest lands, it is neither possible nor desirable to undertake an across-the-board move. Instead, zoning for siliviculture reserves, as has been proposed by Professor David Haley at the University of British Columbia is perhaps a wise initial step.1 Any efforts in changing property titles will have to proceed slowly at first. A cautious approach, among other things, will economize on transaction costs. After all, information gathering, property valuation, negotiation of contractual terms, arrangements for auctioning, and so forth are all costly activities. Finally, what is essential is the governments political will and the general publics support. An alternative to the cautious approach is to maintain the status quo and wait for the inevitable crisis that will itself result in a wide-ranging ownership change of a magnitude large enough to shake the foundations of British Columbias economy. Clearly, incremental change is the wisest option.
Q: Dont minimum wage laws make workers earning low wages better off? A: Minimum wage laws make some people better off while making others worse off. Minimum wage laws increase unemployment and in many cases the laws hurt the very people they intend to protect. Q: How do minimum wage laws increase unemployment? A: There are two reasons that minimum wage laws increase unemployment: 1. at higher wage rates employers reduce the quantity of labour employed. 2. at higher wage rates more people want to work. Thus, when the minimum wage rate goes up from $6 per hour to $7 per hour some people become unemployed because they are laid off. These people lose their jobs because it is now costs the employer more to keep them on. Others will now be counted as unemployed because at $6 per hour they were not looking for a job but at $7 an hour they want to work. Q: How do minimum wage laws make people worse off? A: Some people are not made worse off by minimum wage laws because not everyone loses their job when the minimum wage rises. There is no doubt that the people who keep their jobs and who are now making $7 an hour rather than $6 an hour are smiling. However, as employers reduce the quantity of labour they demand at the higher wage rate because of the financial constraints they face, some people will lose their jobs. These people will lose their jobs even if they are willing to work for $6 an hour because the government has made it illegal for employers to pay workers $6 an hour. The first people to be laid off when the wage rate goes up tend to be those with the least skills. Ironically, these are also the very people the programs are designed to help. We need skills, skills, and more skills Pay Politicians For Their Performance: Keeping "Quality of Life" Index High Would Be Their Incentive by Patrick Basham, University of Cambridge, Political Marketing, Ph.D. Candidate The most practical free market solution for improving Canadian public policy remains untapped. Members of Parliament should be paid according to their results, like their private sector counterparts. Politicians should be paid on the basis of how successful they are in leading their "corporation." We must publicly acknowledge that incentives matter; they affect all aspects of our behaviour. Why not introduce some monetary carrots and sticks for those who make a career out of spending other peoples money? As in private business, if the federal government runs a surplus and pleases its "customers," then the management should be rewarded with bonuses. Conversely, if the government runs up debt and poorly serves its customers, then management should pay the price financially. How would such a salary scheme work in practice? First, a base salary figure would be established for MPs. Second, a series of measurable factorspersonal and corporate tax levels, inflation and unemployment rates, the nations fiscal position, crime statistics, and poverty levelswould be individually weighted, then totalled, producing a base year figure of 100 for this new "quality of life" index. At the end of the year, all of the above factors would be reassessed to determine which had risen or fallen and whether, collectively, the base figure was now, say, 110 (indicating a more expensive, lower quality of life) or, perhaps, 90 (indicating a less expensive, higher quality of life). Once the new total was published, MPs salaries for the following year would be adjusted according to a sliding scale. If the new total was 110, then MPs salaries would be cut by 10 percent. Finally, politicians would be directly accountable in dollar terms for their stewardship, or lack thereof. All decisions to tax, to spend, to regulate, and to subsidize would take on added significance as MPs would be adjusting their own pay scale according to the economic merit of their decision-making. Unemployment cant be "cured" overnight by Parliament authorizing ditch-digging on a mass scale, as such economic interventionism would have the correspondingly negative effect of raising government spending, requiring higher taxes and/or higher deficits to pay for it. As these elements would be factored into the annual quality of life index formula, such superficial solutions would be self-defeating for those MPs pushing for a quick fix. MPs interested in raising their salaries would have to do something that is today considered quite radical: introduce cost-benefit analysis into government budgeting and regulating operations. Canadian taxpayers are increasingly cynical, distrustful both of the motives and efforts of their political representatives. The political climate, therefore, is ripe for such a radical proposal as an incentive-based salary scheme: a guarantee that taxpayers receive value for money. Government decision-making today remains hostage to the tyranny of the organized minority; i.e., the myriad special interest groups. All politicians promise to give us value for money; now its time for them to put their money where their mouths are.
This issue of the Canadian Student Review has put me in a retrospective frame of mind. I tend to think of each issue as being a completely separate, self-contained entity and yet, I see in this one the ideas that had formed the central focus of past issues: the power of ideas, the resilience of our national character, and the importance of truth. In soliciting articles for previous issues, I approached potential contributors with a theme in mind and asked for material that had a central focus. Such an approach helped to answer the question: what should I write about? When it came to this issue, I took a radically (for me) different approach: hands off! I had hoped that when I gathered together a number of submissions representing an eclectic mix of topics, a single uniting idea would emerge to provide a context for this issue. As has been the case in the course of my experience as editor, the contributors to this issue didnt let me down. From the challenges of adapting to a global high-tech market to relationships with other nations; from fiscal policy to social policy to government reform: all of the issues that our authors have chosen to address contain a common fundamental ideaincentives matter. In order to choose between options, one needs a reason to prefer one option over another. This is as true of economic choices as it is of all our other choices. In a free market, where command and coercion have no place, the reason to prefer one option over another is the benefit it confers, the incentive. As James Gwartney and Richard Stroup point out in What Everyone Should Know About Economics and Prosperity, markets work because incentives matter. To all of you who contributed your work, offered your opinions, and gave your time to the Canadian Student Review: Thank you. Your incentive is in the mail.
Tracey
Nicholls
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