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February Questions and Answers and February Graph

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Joel Emes

Q:  I have read that the number of part-time jobs is growing much faster than the number of full-time jobs. Is this true? If not, what are these claims based on?

A:  No, the number of new full-time jobs between 1976 and 1999 exceeds the number of new part-time jobs by over two million (2,137,000), or just over 250 percent. More recently, in the years between 1990 and 1999, there were 1.151 million more full-time jobs, but only 365,000 more part-time jobs (see table 1).

The claims you refer to are based on the rate of growth for part-time and full-time jobs as opposed to the growth in the number of jobs. The growth rate of part-time jobs was higher than that for full-time jobs for much of the period between 1976 and 1999, although the growth rate for full-time jobs was higher than that for part-time jobs in 1994, 1995, 1998, and 1999. The rate for part-time job growth has been greater than that for full-time job growth in 15 out of the 23 years on record. This month's graph shows the year-to-year growth rates for total, full-time, and part-time employment from 1976 to 1999. From 1976 to 1999, growth in the number of part-time jobs was 114 percent and that for full-time jobs was only 41 percent (see table 1). The ratio of part-time jobs to total jobs increased from 12.5 percent in 1976 to 19.1 percent in 1993, where it remained basically constant through 1997. The ratio fell slightly in 1998 and by a full percentage point in 1999. The number of part-time jobs actually fell by 83,000 in 1999. The reason that relatively small increases in the number of part-time jobs produces high growth rates is that there are relatively few part-time jobs. An increase of 100,000 part-time jobs in 2000 would yield a growth rate of 3.8 percent while 100,000 full-time jobs would represent 0.8 percent growth.

Table 1: Total, Full-time, and Part-time Employment Growth in Canada

 

Total Employment (000’s)

Full- time
Employment (000’s)

Part- time
Employment (000’s)

Percentage of full-time jobs

Percentage of part-time jobs

Number

Year to year growth

Number

Year to year growth

Number

Year to year growth

1976

9,776

 

8,559

 

1,217

 

87.5%

12.5%

1977

9,978

202

8,677

119

1,301

84

87.0%

13.0%

1978

10,320

342

8,948

270

1,373

72

86.7%

13.3%

1979

10,761

441

9,275

327

1,486

113

86.2%

13.8%

1980

11,082

321

9,491

217

1,591

105

85.6%

14.4%

1981

11,398

316

9,700

208

1,698

107

85.1%

14.9%

1982

11,035

(363)

9,276

(424)

1,759

61

84.1%

15.9%

1983

11,106

71

9,242

(34)

1,864

105

83.2%

16.8%

1984

11,402

296

9,491

248

1,912

48

83.2%

16.8%

1985

11,742

340

9,745

255

1,997

85

83.0%

17.0%

1986

12,095

353

10,045

300

2,049

53

83.1%

16.9%

1987

12,422

327

10,354

309

2,068

19

83.4%

16.6%

1988

12,819

397

10,667

313

2,152

84

83.2%

16.8%

1989

13,086

267

10,917

251

2,169

17

83.4%

16.6%

1990

13,165

79

10,929

12

2,236

68

83.0%

17.0%

1991

12,916

(249)

10,574

(355)

2,343

106

81.9%

18.1%

1992

12,842

(74)

10,467

(106)

2,375

32

81.5%

18.5%

1993

13,015

173

10,534

67

2,480

106

80.9%

19.1%

1994

13,292

277

10,798

264

2,493

13

81.2%

18.8%

1995

13,506

214

10,997

198

2,509

15

81.4%

18.6%

1996

13,676

170

11,087

90

2,589

80

81.1%

18.9%

1997

13,941

265

11,291

204

2,649

60

81.0%

19.0%

1998

14,326

385

11,642

351

2,684

35

81.3%

18.7%

1999e

14,715

389

12,080

438

2,601

(83)

82.1%

17.7%

Increase, 1976-1996

50.5%

4,939

41.1%

3,521

113.7%

1,384

   

Source: Statistics Canada, Canadian Economic Observer Historical Statistical Supplement 1998/99, cat. 11-210; Statistics Canada, Canadian Economic Observor, December 1999, cat. 11-010; calculations by the author.
e = estimate. Note: Totals may not add due to rounding.

Q:  How is the unemployment rate calculated? How has the number of employed and unemployed people changed recently?

A:  The unemployment rate is calculated by dividing the number of unemployed people by the number of people in the labour force. The information for this calculation is collected monthly by Statistics Canada in a survey of 52,000 Canadian households. The sample for The Labour Force Survey is designed to represent all persons in the population, employed or unemployed, aged 15 and older, excluding those living on Indian reserves, full-time members of the armed forces, or those living in institutions (inmates of penal institutions and patients who have been in hospitals or nursing homes for more than six months). In December 1999 there were 1.109 million (seasonally adjusted) unemployed people in Canada and 16.027 million (seasonally adjusted) in the labour force, for an unemployment rate of 6.9 percent. This does not match the number in table 2 because the number in the table is an annual average for the year.

A person is considered employed if they did any work at all, or had a job but were not at work. A person is considered unemployed if they were available for work and actively looked for work in the past four weeks, had not actively looked for work in the past four weeks but were on temporary layoff, or had not actively looked for work in the past four weeks but had a new job starting in less than four weeks.

The number of employed people has been increasing since 1993, while the number of unemployed people has decreased in five of the last seven years (see table 2).

Table 2: Labour Force, Employment, Unemployment, and the Unemployment Rate

 

Labour force (000’s)

Employed (000’s)

Unemployed (000’s)

Unemployment Rate (percent)

Number

Year-to-year growth

Number

Year-to-year growth

Number

Year-to-year growth

1976

10,530

 

9,776

 

754

 

7.2%

1977

10,860

330

9,978

202

882

128

8.1%

1978

11,265

405

10,320

342

945

63

8.4%

1979

11,630

365

10,761

441

870

(75)

7.5%

1980

11,983

353

11,082

321

900

30

7.5%

1981

12,332

349

11,398

316

934

34

7.6%

1982

12,398

66

11,035

(363)

1,363

429

11.0%

1983

12,610

212

11,106

71

1,504

141

11.9%

1984

12,853

243

11,402

296

1,450

(54)

11.3%

1985

13,123

270

11,742

340

1,381

(69)

10.5%

1986

13,378

255

12,095

353

1,283

(98)

9.6%

1987

13,631

253

12,422

327

1,208

(75)

8.9%

1988

13,900

269

12,819

397

1,082

(126)

7.8%

1989

14,151

251

13,086

267

1,065

(17)

7.5%

1990

14,329

178

13,165

79

1,164

99

8.1%

1991

14,408

79

12,916

(249)

1,492

328

10.4%

1992

14,482

74

12,842

(74)

1,640

148

11.3%

1993

14,663

181

13,015

173

1,649

9

11.2%

1994

14,832

169

13,292

277

1,541

(108)

10.4%

1995

14,928

96

13,506

214

1,422

(119)

9.5%

1996

15,145

217

13,676

170

1,469

47

9.7%

1997

15,354

209

13,941

265

1,414

(55)

9.2%

1998

15,632

278

14,326

385

1,305

(109)

8.3%

1999e

15,929

297

14,715

389

1,214

(91)

7.6%

Source: Statistics Canada, Canadian Economic Observer Historical Statistical Supplement 1998/99, cat. 11-210; Statistics Canada, Canadian Economic Observor, December 1999, cat. 11-010; calculations by the author.
e = estimate. Note: Totals may not add due to rounding.

February Graph

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