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The Economic Freedom Network
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February Questions and Answers and February Graph
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Q: I have read that the number of part-time jobs is growing much faster
than the number of full-time jobs. Is this true? If not, what are these
claims based on?
A: No, the number of new full-time jobs between 1976 and 1999 exceeds the
number of new part-time jobs by over two million (2,137,000), or just over
250 percent. More recently, in the years between 1990 and 1999, there were
1.151 million more full-time jobs, but only 365,000 more part-time jobs
(see table 1).
The claims you refer to are based on the rate of growth for
part-time and full-time jobs as opposed to the growth in the number of
jobs. The growth rate of part-time jobs was higher than that for full-time
jobs for much of the period between 1976 and 1999, although the growth
rate for full-time jobs was higher than that for part-time jobs in 1994,
1995, 1998, and 1999. The rate for part-time job growth has been greater
than that for full-time job growth in 15 out of the 23 years on record.
This month's graph shows the year-to-year growth rates for total, full-time,
and part-time employment from 1976 to 1999. From 1976 to 1999, growth in
the number of part-time jobs was 114 percent and that for full-time jobs
was only 41 percent (see table 1). The ratio of part-time jobs to total
jobs increased from 12.5 percent in 1976 to 19.1 percent in 1993, where
it remained basically constant through 1997. The ratio fell slightly in
1998 and by a full percentage point in 1999. The number of part-time jobs
actually fell by 83,000 in 1999. The reason that relatively small increases
in the number of part-time jobs produces high growth rates is that there
are relatively few part-time jobs. An increase of 100,000 part-time jobs
in 2000 would yield a growth rate of 3.8 percent while 100,000 full-time
jobs would represent 0.8 percent growth.
Table 1: Total, Full-time, and Part-time Employment Growth in Canada
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|
Total Employment (000’s)
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Full- time
Employment (000’s)
|
Part- time
Employment (000’s)
|
Percentage of full-time jobs
|
Percentage of part-time jobs
|
|
Number
|
Year to year growth
|
Number
|
Year to year growth
|
Number
|
Year to year growth
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|
1976
|
9,776
|
|
8,559
|
|
1,217
|
|
87.5%
|
12.5%
|
|
1977
|
9,978
|
202
|
8,677
|
119
|
1,301
|
84
|
87.0%
|
13.0%
|
|
1978
|
10,320
|
342
|
8,948
|
270
|
1,373
|
72
|
86.7%
|
13.3%
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|
1979
|
10,761
|
441
|
9,275
|
327
|
1,486
|
113
|
86.2%
|
13.8%
|
|
1980
|
11,082
|
321
|
9,491
|
217
|
1,591
|
105
|
85.6%
|
14.4%
|
|
1981
|
11,398
|
316
|
9,700
|
208
|
1,698
|
107
|
85.1%
|
14.9%
|
|
1982
|
11,035
|
(363)
|
9,276
|
(424)
|
1,759
|
61
|
84.1%
|
15.9%
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|
1983
|
11,106
|
71
|
9,242
|
(34)
|
1,864
|
105
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83.2%
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16.8%
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|
1984
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11,402
|
296
|
9,491
|
248
|
1,912
|
48
|
83.2%
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16.8%
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|
1985
|
11,742
|
340
|
9,745
|
255
|
1,997
|
85
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83.0%
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17.0%
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1986
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12,095
|
353
|
10,045
|
300
|
2,049
|
53
|
83.1%
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16.9%
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1987
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12,422
|
327
|
10,354
|
309
|
2,068
|
19
|
83.4%
|
16.6%
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|
1988
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12,819
|
397
|
10,667
|
313
|
2,152
|
84
|
83.2%
|
16.8%
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|
1989
|
13,086
|
267
|
10,917
|
251
|
2,169
|
17
|
83.4%
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16.6%
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|
1990
|
13,165
|
79
|
10,929
|
12
|
2,236
|
68
|
83.0%
|
17.0%
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|
1991
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12,916
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(249)
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10,574
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(355)
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2,343
|
106
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81.9%
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18.1%
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1992
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12,842
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(74)
|
10,467
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(106)
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2,375
|
32
|
81.5%
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18.5%
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1993
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13,015
|
173
|
10,534
|
67
|
2,480
|
106
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80.9%
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19.1%
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1994
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13,292
|
277
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10,798
|
264
|
2,493
|
13
|
81.2%
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18.8%
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1995
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13,506
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214
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10,997
|
198
|
2,509
|
15
|
81.4%
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18.6%
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1996
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13,676
|
170
|
11,087
|
90
|
2,589
|
80
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81.1%
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18.9%
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1997
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13,941
|
265
|
11,291
|
204
|
2,649
|
60
|
81.0%
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19.0%
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1998
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14,326
|
385
|
11,642
|
351
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2,684
|
35
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81.3%
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18.7%
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1999e
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14,715
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389
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12,080
|
438
|
2,601
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(83)
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82.1%
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17.7%
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Increase, 1976-1996
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50.5%
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4,939
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41.1%
|
3,521
|
113.7%
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1,384
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|
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|
Source: Statistics Canada, Canadian Economic Observer Historical Statistical
Supplement 1998/99, cat. 11-210; Statistics Canada, Canadian Economic Observor,
December 1999, cat. 11-010; calculations by the author.
e = estimate.
Note: Totals may not add due to rounding.
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Q: How is the unemployment rate calculated? How has the number of employed
and unemployed people changed recently?
A: The unemployment rate is calculated by dividing the number of unemployed
people by the number of people in the labour force. The information for
this calculation is collected monthly by Statistics Canada in a survey
of 52,000 Canadian households. The sample for The Labour Force Survey is
designed to represent all persons in the population, employed or unemployed,
aged 15 and older, excluding those living on Indian reserves, full-time
members of the armed forces, or those living in institutions (inmates of
penal institutions and patients who have been in hospitals or nursing homes
for more than six months). In December 1999 there were 1.109 million (seasonally
adjusted) unemployed people in Canada and 16.027 million (seasonally adjusted)
in the labour force, for an unemployment rate of 6.9 percent. This does
not match the number in table 2 because the number in the table is an annual
average for the year.
A person is considered employed if they did any work
at all, or had a job but were not at work. A person is considered unemployed
if they were available for work and actively looked for work in the past
four weeks, had not actively looked for work in the past four weeks but
were on temporary layoff, or had not actively looked for work in the past
four weeks but had a new job starting in less than four weeks.
The number
of employed people has been increasing since 1993, while the number of
unemployed people has decreased in five of the last seven years (see table 2).
Table 2: Labour Force, Employment, Unemployment, and the Unemployment Rate
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Labour force (000’s)
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Employed (000’s)
|
Unemployed (000’s)
|
Unemployment Rate (percent)
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|
Number
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Year-to-year growth
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Number
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Year-to-year growth
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Number
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Year-to-year growth
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1976
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10,530
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|
9,776
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|
754
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7.2%
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1977
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10,860
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330
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9,978
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202
|
882
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128
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8.1%
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|
1978
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11,265
|
405
|
10,320
|
342
|
945
|
63
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8.4%
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|
1979
|
11,630
|
365
|
10,761
|
441
|
870
|
(75)
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7.5%
|
|
1980
|
11,983
|
353
|
11,082
|
321
|
900
|
30
|
7.5%
|
|
1981
|
12,332
|
349
|
11,398
|
316
|
934
|
34
|
7.6%
|
|
1982
|
12,398
|
66
|
11,035
|
(363)
|
1,363
|
429
|
11.0%
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|
1983
|
12,610
|
212
|
11,106
|
71
|
1,504
|
141
|
11.9%
|
|
1984
|
12,853
|
243
|
11,402
|
296
|
1,450
|
(54)
|
11.3%
|
|
1985
|
13,123
|
270
|
11,742
|
340
|
1,381
|
(69)
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10.5%
|
|
1986
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13,378
|
255
|
12,095
|
353
|
1,283
|
(98)
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9.6%
|
|
1987
|
13,631
|
253
|
12,422
|
327
|
1,208
|
(75)
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8.9%
|
|
1988
|
13,900
|
269
|
12,819
|
397
|
1,082
|
(126)
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7.8%
|
|
1989
|
14,151
|
251
|
13,086
|
267
|
1,065
|
(17)
|
7.5%
|
|
1990
|
14,329
|
178
|
13,165
|
79
|
1,164
|
99
|
8.1%
|
|
1991
|
14,408
|
79
|
12,916
|
(249)
|
1,492
|
328
|
10.4%
|
|
1992
|
14,482
|
74
|
12,842
|
(74)
|
1,640
|
148
|
11.3%
|
|
1993
|
14,663
|
181
|
13,015
|
173
|
1,649
|
9
|
11.2%
|
|
1994
|
14,832
|
169
|
13,292
|
277
|
1,541
|
(108)
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10.4%
|
|
1995
|
14,928
|
96
|
13,506
|
214
|
1,422
|
(119)
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9.5%
|
|
1996
|
15,145
|
217
|
13,676
|
170
|
1,469
|
47
|
9.7%
|
|
1997
|
15,354
|
209
|
13,941
|
265
|
1,414
|
(55)
|
9.2%
|
|
1998
|
15,632
|
278
|
14,326
|
385
|
1,305
|
(109)
|
8.3%
|
|
1999e
|
15,929
|
297
|
14,715
|
389
|
1,214
|
(91)
|
7.6%
|
|
Source: Statistics Canada, Canadian Economic Observer Historical Statistical
Supplement 1998/99, cat. 11-210; Statistics Canada, Canadian Economic Observor,
December 1999, cat. 11-010; calculations by the author.
e = estimate.
Note: Totals may not add due to rounding.
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Last Modified: Wednesday June 9, 1999.
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